(RoyalPatriot.com )- According to a Wall Street Journal poll released last Friday, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are evenly tied at 45 percent in a hypothetical 2024 match-up.
The same poll had Joe Biden’s approval rating at a pathetic 42 percent with 57 percent of respondents disapproving of the president.
Former President Trump didn’t fare much better, with 55 percent of respondents saying they view the former president unfavorably. That might be why, in a head-to-head match-up with the least popular president in modern history, the best Trump can manage is a tie.
Joe Biden has repeatedly voiced his intention of running again in 2024 at the ripe old age of 81. Then again, Biden says a lot of patently untrue things, so the likelihood he means it, and more importantly, the Democrat Party would permit it, is slim.
Meanwhile, to avoid FEC financial restrictions on fundraising, former President Trump has not officially declared he is running again, opting instead to drop anvil-sized hints about his 2024 plans.
Recent polling shows that the former president is the odds-on favorite for the Republican nomination.
Since presidential elections are decided by individual states and not a nationwide popular vote, a national poll of a head-to-head match-up between candidates doesn’t tell the whole story.
The real question is will the five key swing states “won” by Joe Biden in 2020 support Biden again in 2024?
Joe Biden only “won” Georgia by a little more than 10,000 votes. The same goes for Arizona. Biden “won” Wisconsin by about 20,000 votes. With Joe Biden’s approval rating in the toilet, if he does decide to run again at the age of 81, he won’t be going into 2024 with a particularly strong hand.
In the end, hypothetical polling for a presidential election that is over two and a half years away is an exercise in futility.
A lot can change between now and November 2024. Keep in mind, in late 2014, Jeb! Bush was the “frontrunner” for the 2016 Republican nomination. How’d that work out for low-energy Jeb?